Multivariate Manpower, Personnel and Training (MPT) Modeling and Management System

The Navy is reengineering the enlisted distribution process. SAILOR 21: A Research Vision to Attract, Retain, and Utilize the 21st Century Sailor! presents a vision for the next decade that combines dramatic improvements in technology and the scientific understanding of "people issues" to address the personnel challenges of a significantly reduced Navy force. Challenges for the next decade include building semantically rich data models, transforming the information into knowledge of how current behavior fits into an historical and projected context and why events are occurring. To meet these challenges, IET worked with the Navy Personnel Research and Development Center to learn probabilistic knowledge from data. During Phase I, IET developed prototype software to learn Bayesian Networks (BN) from data. The model creation methodology combined elicitation of generic BN structures, identification of relevant variables and network learning technology.